Image is of Putin and Scholz sitting on opposite ends of a frighteningly long table back in 2022. Folks, the table is gonna get ten feet longer.
The latest round of US-Russian diplomacy is taking place on August 15th in Alaska, where Putin and Trump are meeting in-person to maybe try and bring an end to this godforsaken conflict. While I don’t want to totally discount the possibility that they may come to an agreement - you truly never know! - there’s a lot stacked against this encounter yielding much of anything.
Russia appears to have demanded a land swap; that Ukraine fully withdraw from Kherson and Zaporozhye oblasts (in exchange for unspecified Russian gains, but probably parts of Sumy and Kharkov) as a precondition for a ceasefire that could perhaps lead to a permanent resolution of the conflict, and Ukraine seems completely unwilling to do anything of the sort, saying that even if they wanted to, the process of just giving up a couple oblasts would take significant time and require referendums. I say that Russia has appeared to demand it, because there’s been a lot of confusion - probably in bad faith - about what Russian diplomats and Putin himself have said and what the demands even are. There are some who speculate that Trump will sell out Ukraine and blame Zelensky for refusing to agree with Russian demands, and there are others who say that this just the latest of many examples of the US and Russia meeting up with such fundamental differences that a deal is impossible, and that Trump fully expects to put sanctions on Russia after Putin declines some harebrained American scheme.
Anyway. After the summit, in late August, Putin is due to arrive for a visit to India, at Modi’s invitation. Previously, I was unsure exactly what India would do in response to American sanctions pressure, and now we appear to be receiving an answer, as Modi has made public statements that suggest that he is only getting closer to Russia. Fascinatingly, Modi will soon make his first visit to China in seven years at the annual SCO summit at the end of August, and Putin will be heading to China too on September 3rd. There is an increasing amount of dismissal about the potential of BRICS (especially one that contains India), and that dismissal is certainly rather justified, but I am still deeply curious about what developments may occur as the global south braces to face the remaining ~85% of Trump’s presidency.
Last week’s thread is here.
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Israel's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Been hearing a bit about Tamil genocide and Redditors who claim to be from the global south saying every AES country supports it with only anarchists doing anything worthwhile.
I can usually tell it’s some astroturfed bullshit when anarchists from the global south claim to be the only leftists doing anything for indigenous people.
Still, do any newsheads know much about the topic? I really don’t know much about South Asia.
Tamil genocide is popping back up for a few reasons. The first is that there was a new mass grave discovered in Chemmani that has so far turned up the bodies of 19 people, including 3 infants:
https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/6/16/new-sri-lanka-mass-grave-discovery-reopens-old-wounds-for-tamils
The new president is a DemSoc who has promised something a long the lines of truth and reconcilation, so I would expect a lot more old wounds to probably be opened, although I am far from a Sri Lanka expert.
In the anglosphere, I imagine you are hearing more about it in part because of Tamil a streamer called ArunAnnow who was clipped talking about how he has struggled to get other leftists anglosphere political journalists/streamers/infliencers to cover these latest developments, as well as a documentary about the genocide called Grief-Stricken Winds, which I believe he created/produced:
https://youtu.be/AcWl8wHNGOk
In terms of who was arming the Sri Lankan government during the civil war, it would be easier to tell you who wasn’t selling them weapons. China, India, and DPRK sold weapons to both sides during various points in the civil war.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
it is true, China supported Sri Lanka with weapons, largest supplier I think. very sad opportunism, but wtf were anarchists doing? nothing.
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Page 7 of this https://www.ips.lk/images/Staff/internationalPublications/China_balance/ChinaAsBalancerKelegama.pdf
Further https://tamilnation.org/intframe/china/090502china_pumps_aid
Like no they are not giving firefighting drones. I don’t really care what one’s judgement is on China in this case, they very publicly armed Sri Lanka. which geopolitically was one of their greatest wins. They edged out India and pushed the US/UK further and further away
I am not sure how this is disputable. You can go back and find a shit ton of articles and papers about how the US dropped the ball on arms to Sri Lanka and China capitalized on it.
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I mean the Philippines situation is also pretty sad, but yeah that is much more of a mix between US and Chinese arms and aid. Honestly Chinese business interests and development are the far larger problem for the Philippine revolution. Lot of dispossession of native land for Chinese funded projects, and private billionaires being the ones who jump started Duterte’s career in the first place.
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Do you accept Filipino Maoists in the Philippines? Cause I can assure you, the idea is not something originating from some western Maoists.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/1/19/china-backed-dam-threatens-indigenous-people-in-the-philippines
This stuff is not hard to research.
19.5 million dollars in arms https://thedefensepost.com/2022/01/24/china-military-equipment-philippines/
Ostensibly to “fight narcotics”, which mind you, the Philippines declares the NPA to be drug traffickers, same playbook as the US arming Colombia.
https://www.reuters.com/article/world/china-donates-four-small-boats-and-grenade-launchers-to-philippines-idUSKBN1KJ0AV/
https://www.reuters.com/article/world/china-gives-guns-to-philippines-to-show-its-a-friend-not-a-foe-idUSKBN1CA0P5/
Chinese diplomacy is not a scam by western Maoists.
Very inflammatory very biased article, but from the horses mouth of what the Asian Maoists in active rebellion feel about China’s policy https://philippinerevolution.nu/statements/resist-china-efforts-to-impose-imperialist-power-on-the-philippines/ https://philippinerevolution.nu/2024/01/07/us-china-strife-and-the-deepening-conflict-within-the-ruling-class/
You can disagree with it, but let’s not dismiss it as reddit western Maoists making shit up. Concern yourself with what the CPP is saying and the material reality, not online debates.
The CPP and its associated organizations publish in english, constantly. https://philippinerevolution.nu/ It is all here, searchable, or downloadable in one place. One of the easiest movements to keep track of.
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weren’t the Tamil Tigers revolutionary socialists? the civil war ended in their defeat, but i haven’t heard of anarchists doing anything or having any influence in the conflict or after. maybe that is my own ignorance