Image is of Putin and Scholz sitting on opposite ends of a frighteningly long table back in 2022. Folks, the table is gonna get ten feet longer.


The latest round of US-Russian diplomacy is taking place on August 15th in Alaska, where Putin and Trump are meeting in-person to maybe try and bring an end to this godforsaken conflict. While I don’t want to totally discount the possibility that they may come to an agreement - you truly never know! - there’s a lot stacked against this encounter yielding much of anything.

Russia appears to have demanded a land swap; that Ukraine fully withdraw from Kherson and Zaporozhye oblasts (in exchange for unspecified Russian gains, but probably parts of Sumy and Kharkov) as a precondition for a ceasefire that could perhaps lead to a permanent resolution of the conflict, and Ukraine seems completely unwilling to do anything of the sort, saying that even if they wanted to, the process of just giving up a couple oblasts would take significant time and require referendums. I say that Russia has appeared to demand it, because there’s been a lot of confusion - probably in bad faith - about what Russian diplomats and Putin himself have said and what the demands even are. There are some who speculate that Trump will sell out Ukraine and blame Zelensky for refusing to agree with Russian demands, and there are others who say that this just the latest of many examples of the US and Russia meeting up with such fundamental differences that a deal is impossible, and that Trump fully expects to put sanctions on Russia after Putin declines some harebrained American scheme.

Anyway. After the summit, in late August, Putin is due to arrive for a visit to India, at Modi’s invitation. Previously, I was unsure exactly what India would do in response to American sanctions pressure, and now we appear to be receiving an answer, as Modi has made public statements that suggest that he is only getting closer to Russia. Fascinatingly, Modi will soon make his first visit to China in seven years at the annual SCO summit at the end of August, and Putin will be heading to China too on September 3rd. There is an increasing amount of dismissal about the potential of BRICS (especially one that contains India), and that dismissal is certainly rather justified, but I am still deeply curious about what developments may occur as the global south braces to face the remaining ~85% of Trump’s presidency.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


      • newacctidk [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        5 days ago

        Page 7 of this https://www.ips.lk/images/Staff/internationalPublications/China_balance/ChinaAsBalancerKelegama.pdf

        In Sri Lanka, Chinese-supplied arms were instrumental in winning the separatist war with the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) during 2008 and 2009. In the face of India’s inabilíty to supply the needed arms, China became an important supplier.33 It also gave Sri Lanka the freedom from political conditionality being imposed by India, the United States, and other members of the international community.

        Further https://tamilnation.org/intframe/china/090502china_pumps_aid

        In April 2007 Sri Lanka signed a classified $37.6 million (�25 million) deal to buy Chinese ammunition and ordnance for its army and navy, according to Jane�s Defence Weekly.

        China gave Sri Lanka � apparently free of charge � six F7 jet fighters last year, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, after a daring raid by the Tigers� air wing destroyed ten military aircraft in 2007. One of the Chinese fighters shot down one of the Tigers� aircraft a year later.

        �China�s arms sales have been the decisive factor in ending the military stalemate,� Brahma Chellaney, of the Centre for Policy Research in Delhi, said. �There seems to have been a deal linked to Hambantota.�

        Since 2007 China has encouraged Pakistan to sell weapons to Sri Lanka and to train Sri Lankan pilots to fly the Chinese fighters, according to Indian security sources.

        China has also provided crucial diplomatic support in the UN Security Council, blocking efforts to put Sri Lanka on the agenda. It has also boosted financial aid to Sri Lanka, even as Western countries have reduced their contributions.

        China�s aid to Sri Lanka jumped from a few million dollars in 2005 to almost $1 billion last year, replacing Japan as the biggest foreign donor. By comparison, the United States gave $7.4 million last year, and Britain just �1.25 million.

        Like no they are not giving firefighting drones. I don’t really care what one’s judgement is on China in this case, they very publicly armed Sri Lanka. which geopolitically was one of their greatest wins. They edged out India and pushed the US/UK further and further away

        I am not sure how this is disputable. You can go back and find a shit ton of articles and papers about how the US dropped the ball on arms to Sri Lanka and China capitalized on it.

          • newacctidk [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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            I mean the Philippines situation is also pretty sad, but yeah that is much more of a mix between US and Chinese arms and aid. Honestly Chinese business interests and development are the far larger problem for the Philippine revolution. Lot of dispossession of native land for Chinese funded projects, and private billionaires being the ones who jump started Duterte’s career in the first place.

              • newacctidk [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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                5 days ago

                Do you accept Filipino Maoists in the Philippines? Cause I can assure you, the idea is not something originating from some western Maoists.

                https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/1/19/china-backed-dam-threatens-indigenous-people-in-the-philippines

                This stuff is not hard to research.

                19.5 million dollars in arms https://thedefensepost.com/2022/01/24/china-military-equipment-philippines/
                Ostensibly to “fight narcotics”, which mind you, the Philippines declares the NPA to be drug traffickers, same playbook as the US arming Colombia.

                https://www.reuters.com/article/world/china-donates-four-small-boats-and-grenade-launchers-to-philippines-idUSKBN1KJ0AV/

                https://www.reuters.com/article/world/china-gives-guns-to-philippines-to-show-its-a-friend-not-a-foe-idUSKBN1CA0P5/

                Chinese diplomacy is not a scam by western Maoists.

                Very inflammatory very biased article, but from the horses mouth of what the Asian Maoists in active rebellion feel about China’s policy https://philippinerevolution.nu/statements/resist-china-efforts-to-impose-imperialist-power-on-the-philippines/ https://philippinerevolution.nu/2024/01/07/us-china-strife-and-the-deepening-conflict-within-the-ruling-class/

                You can disagree with it, but let’s not dismiss it as reddit western Maoists making shit up. Concern yourself with what the CPP is saying and the material reality, not online debates.

                The CPP and its associated organizations publish in english, constantly. https://philippinerevolution.nu/ It is all here, searchable, or downloadable in one place. One of the easiest movements to keep track of.

                  • newacctidk [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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                    Being right does not mean winning.

                    even if the CPP is totally sincere, that doesnt mean they are right. if they were, why havent they won is a wildly anti-materialist perspective. Also to be clear, they don’t blame China for all their problems. Again read their newspaper, they always frame it as the US trying to get the Philippines to go to a pointless war with China and that must be opposed.

                    Keep in mind also the Vietminh had the USSR and the starting point of Japanese occupation. Different circumstances.

                    Also how is mentioning aid to a military badfaith maoist shit? It is the same principle as opposing say giving Israel bulldozers or the Saudis medivac helis. Those aid the war, that is not civilians tech. Again you don’t have to agree that they shouldn’t, but it is woefully badfaith to act like it is shocking to view that as aid. Most of us here view non-combat roles in the US military to be wrong and part of imperialism. It is silly to say that that changes suddenly if it is the Philippines.

                    And again, you are saying the CPP handwave concerns over the US? They don’t. You seem to be approaching the entire situation with your mind made up. You decided already somehow that Sri Lanka’s military deals with China are a Maoist online conspiracy. You didn’t look into it, you just assumed. You find reddit Maoists annoying, so you decided that the majority of the CPP’s complaints are aimed at China.

                    Article from May 7th https://philippinerevolution.nu/2025/05/07/escalating-us-preparations-for-imperialist-war-against-china/ March 30th https://philippinerevolution.nu/statements/reject-hegseth-and-the-us-deterrence-strategy-against-china/ November 29th 2024 https://philippinerevolution.nu/statements/compatriots-ndfp-condemns-latest-u-s-schemes-to-drag-the-country-into-war-with-china-and-the-people-into-its-counterinsurgency-attacks/ November 12th 2024 https://philippinerevolution.nu/statements/oppose-us-nato-meddling-in-south-china-sea-affairs/

                    These maritime disputes between the Philippines and China can and must be resolved peacefully through dialogue and other diplomatic or legal methods. The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Seas (UNCLOS), to which both countries are signatories, should serve as the starting point. It is to the interest of the Filipino and Chinese people that an escalation of the conflict be avoided at all costs.

                    A number of neighboring countries in Southeast Asia have expressed support to the new Philippine maritime laws. By and large, these help bolster Philippine claims under the UNCLOS and strengthen the country’s position relative to China.

                    However, the statements of support coming from the US and its NATO allies in Europe (especially France and the UK), as well as Japan, are something that Filipinos should be wary of. These imperialist powers, historically and currently, are notorious for imposing their hegemony and meddling into the affairs of sovereign countries, including that of the Philippines.

                    Led by the imperialist US, these powers have actively been deploying their naval forces in the South China Sea over the past year. These naval deployments have exacerbated tensions and impeded peaceful dialogue. The Marcos puppet regime is acting as a pawn in the imperialist strategy by allowing the US to use the Philippines as a military stronghold, and deploy its own armed forces in US-led maritime operations and war exercises.

                    The Filipino people must remain vigilant over these insidious schemes. They must guard against efforts of the US-led imperialist powers that seek to create pretexts for provoking an armed conflict with their rival China, and drag the Philippines and the entire world into the quagmire of inter-imperialist war.

                    Childish bullshit about the people being slaughtered being feds is not a goodfaith criticism, nor is “well why haven’t you won?”. You can’t complain about western Maoists being chauvinists and then say blatantly dismissive chauvinistic shit. And yes I linked Reuters because while they have framing bias, you can corroborate from a major news source. Do you want me to find the official Chinese language press statement? You have no interest in facts, you have no interest in investigating. You couldn’t even be arsed to google about Sri Lanka’s military aid.

                    Case in point > proposed 800 million dollar dam (was it actually constructed? who fucking knows???)

                    Who knows? you can fucking look it up. It is still being debated over because it is controversial. As well as being an expensive project. You ask me for information, I provided multiple sources and starting points and you are complaining like a child not wanting to eat veggies. You can find over a dozen articles on that specific story. You are being absurd, the transaction happened, it is not some fantasy created from nothing.

                    Here is the Philippines government newspaper with a press release on it https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1011860

                    You are so blatantly in denial. “this never happened” shown a source “well I don’t like the source and wont bother corroborating it” also “and if it is true then it was actually not that important and so it doesn’t matter”. You are not interested in investigating, you only want to speak. Also on that specific story, if you read it you would understand that this was amidst the US cutting off an arms shipment to the Philippines. So the otherwise small donation was more significant than it may seem because it showed in action that China would not require concessions from the Philippines for shipments, something the US was doing cause they always do that. Not out of actual concern, but for the sake of maintaining dependency. China managed a coup de grace with this because while both are acting in their own interests, China armed Duterte without pretending to be concerned about his abuses, whereas the US actively works with his abuses and criminal actions but tries to save face.

                    Which goes to the thing you are not understanding. No one in the CPP is saying China is the bigger issue, I just gave you several examples from the horses mouth, but hey maybe the Filipinos are actually western Maoists from Austin this whole time, that would make navigating reality a lot easier for you. The reality is that the CPP views both as aggressive and self-interested at the expense of the Philippines, they do NOT view China as the larger or worse threat, but they do consider it to be aiding the government on account of it aiding the government.

                    Screaming “but the US gives more, and they are losers anyways” is not only childish, it misses the point. The CPP wants China to not arm the Philippines military. This is not contingent on if the US is giving more arms or not, this is not contingent on if you feel China is advancing socialism in its borders or not. There are two concerns here that are opposed, and one is at the expense of the other either way.

                    I don’t really care to moralize about the matter, but I do find it repugnant to so utterly dismiss the Filipino perspective and hint to them being feds or losers who are gonna lose anyways so who really cares, instead of being a materialist and examining China’s wants as a power and the Philippine revolution’s wants and goals and how those converge and how they clash. You are acting like a liberal who happens to prefer China.

                    And again these are examples of easy to find shit, that is not the extent of military spending or of aid. I am not your encyclopedia, and I cannot give you both nation’s financial records. And even if I could it seemingly would be useless given your attitude towards investigating anything. If you cannot navigate biased sources, then no source is ever gonna be good enough and you will sit in complete ignorance, never prodding, never learning and analyzing