• HalfSalesman@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    I have zero hope she’ll win the primary, but I’d bet money she’d win the general if she got to it. The next problem after that though is if she ends up being president in 2028, she’ll probably not get jack shit done because of the newly massively gerrymandered congress, intrinsically anti-democratic senate, and actively hostile SCOTUS.

    We’d see her win and the american left would get the largest blackpill ever as she gets fucked over and gets barely anything done, is blamed, and then we get Cyber-Trump in 2032.

    • Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      she’ll probably not get jack shit done because of the newly massively gerrymandered congress, intrinsically anti-democratic senate, and actively hostile SCOTUS.

      Using the Trump precedence, she can ignore Congress and SCOTUS.

      • HalfSalesman@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        Shes going to need to get really creative for that to work. Trump manages to do shit without congress because of corruption, corporate backing, and being nihilistic, impulsive, and being surrounded by yes men.

        AOC would be entering a hostile environment and likely wouldn’t be able to tame it, would try to be careful not to do more harm than good, and would be surrounded by well meaning but likely stifling voices of bureaucrats/proceduralists, scientists, and dissenting activists, etc. And she would try to actually listen to all of them, slowing her down and making her easy to undercut by snakes.

    • Lightsong@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      I love her but I would rather to have her remain in legislative branch. She does amazing works in committees and more. She can do more for goods in legislative branch (years) than she would in executive 4-8 years plus being resisted by propaganda).

    • DarkFuture@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      but I’d bet money she’d win the general

      What in the last 10, if not more, years of American history makes you think she’d win the general?

      • Riverside@reddthat.com
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        2 days ago

        Mamdani and Obama’s smashing victories? Not like Obama isn’t a war criminal, but he ran a campaign on change and progressivism (even if he didn’t enact said progressivism and in fact bombed children) and he smashed his two terms, and Mamdani literally defeated the Democrat party apparatus which attempted to sabotage him by throwing the Cuomo wrench in the elections.

        Running a young “change” candidate on a (false but USA) premise of progressivism is incredibly popular.

      • HalfSalesman@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        Most democratic voters who always vote blue don’t care whether they’re a moderate or leftwing. The ones that are more likely to refuse to vote are the lefties, and while there are some lefties who dislike AOC, most of them would be willing to vote for her and might even be excited to.

        Centrists, apolitical, indie voters are all dumb as rocks and don’t pay enough attention and generally just vote on gut feeling. Thus the anti-incumbancy bias will favor any democratic candidate the shove out in 2028.

        Make no mistake, the Democrats can still lose, because they’re Democrats. Its just 2028 specifically favors them enough and AOC would move them to be even more favorable, thus worth betting on.

        • Mulligrubs@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          Centrists, apolitical, indie voters are all dumb as rocks and don’t pay enough attention and generally just vote on gut feeling.

          You require their votes to win any election. Your party is at 30%, just like Republicans; Independents are now 40%.

          Why some Democrats think insulting the majority of the electorate will do them any favors is beyond me… where I’m from, that’s the exact opposite of smart. But I’m sure you’ll figure it all out, professor.

          • go_go_gadget@lemmy.world
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            2 days ago

            Why some Democrats think insulting the majority of the electorate will do them any favors is beyond me…

            Because that’s what they’ve done to us for decades. It’s only wrong and stupid when we do it?

          • HalfSalesman@lemmy.world
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            23 hours ago

            You require their votes to win any election. Your party is at 30%, just like Republicans; Independents are now 40%.

            I don’t require anything. I’m not democratic leadership or a politician, I’m just providing an honest analysis.

            If independents and the like are going to change their vote because someone said mean words they simply are petulantly fucking stupid and deserve whatever grifter rightwing politician they get. Like Trump for instance.

            Why some Democrats think insulting the majority of the electorate will do them any favors is beyond me… where I’m from, that’s the exact opposite of smart. But I’m sure you’ll figure it all out, professor.

            I’m not seeking favors. I don’t give a fuck if democrats win anymore outside maybe some minor material benefit to general well being as a citizen of a country full of morons. Eventually blue states will end up having all the economic leverage anyway, so I’m moving to one as soon as I can (or maybe even eventually out of this shithole country entirely if I can afford to)

            You deserve Trump. You deserve all the bullshit he has brought. Go ahead and vote Republican, I do not give a fuck lol. Let the federal government collapse so the blue state economic powerhouses can balkanize and take the proper reigns of government away from fuckwits and fascists.