Image is of a destroyed American AWACS plane in Saudi Arabia, of which there is a very limited supply and each of which is enormously expensive both monetarily and in terms of components. Iran hit this with a precision drone strike that likely cost ~$20,000.
I don’t have much to add from the last megathread description. This isn’t to say that nothing has happened or has changed since then - decades are still happening in weeks - but the general flow of the war is remaining the same. Trump sometimes threatens to open the Strait with troops and flatten Iran to rubble, and other times threatens that he’s gonna back off and let other countries handle it if they really want little trifles like “fuel” and “energy” so much. Iran continues to strike across the Middle East. The West continues to bomb civilian infrastructure due to their relative inability to affect the missile cities. In all: things are generally getting worse for America and the Zionists.
April is the month where the last ships that left Hormuz before it was closed will arrive around the world, so the last month of economic turmoil has been a mere prelude to what’s going to occur in the near-future. The silver lining is that Iran appears to be formalizing the new state of affairs in Hormuz, creating a rial-based toll to allow passage between a pair of Iranian-controlled islands where they can be monitored, meaning that, as long as the US doesn’t do something exceptionally stupid, the global energy crisis may “only” last a couple years instead of simply being the new reality from now on. Some countries have already agreed to this arrangement, and others will inevitably follow despite their consternation as their economies increasingly suffer.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


US has no excess LNG to sell. The LNG export terminals have been operating at 100% capacity for a while, they literally cannot send out any more than they already do.
it’s been real fun seeing people online who think that this conflict is a 7D chess play by America to dominate oil and gas markets by pumping a shitload of LNG around the world and also oil because they’re “self-sufficient in oil” because they don’t understand how the composition and thus extraction location of oil determines what it can be used for
one of those “if only you knew how bad things really are” moments
I didn’t realize this. I thought different oil grades just meant different filtration methods
it does, but it’s the setting up of those different filtration methods that’s the issue
to quote NPR, who had a good piece on this recently with an engineering Professor in Texas:
(starting mid-paragraph at the relevant part)
Why can’t we just refine our own oil here?:
Why not build more refineries?:
My point in my comment was that you can’t just look at the amount of oil you currently produce (or could produce if production is increased) and look at the amount of oil you need to fulfil domestic demand and say “well, if the first number is bigger than the second number, we’re alright.” You have to get the oil to the refineries that were previously processing Middle Eastern crude oil (AKA pipeline construction), and then retrofit those refineries to handle the specific kind of oil you’re pumping, both of which are expensive and take time. Or, you could build new refineries closer to the oil sources specifically for processing the oil you drill, but that would also be expensive and take time. And because of neoliberalism deciding that importing crude oil from the Middle East and processing it is cheaper (and thus better) than processing your own oil, plus the faulty assumption that your supply of oil from the MIddle East would never be disrupted, the US is still gonna get hit hard from the Hormuz closure, no matter what Trump says about how the US “doesn’t actually rely on Hormuz at all, it’s only our allies”. Either he doesn’t understand this and is being stupid (I can imagine White House staffers trying to explain it to him and he just gets bored and walks off to watch a video of strikes on Iran with Subway Surfers on the side), or he does secretly understand this and is bluffing.
A US that properly prepared for the Iran War would have seen the construction of more refineries able to handle US oil in the years before the planned date of the conflict such that they truly were more insulated from a Hormuz closure, as well as filling up the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. But the US, or at a minimum the Trump administration, seems to lack any kind of long term planning.
Doesn’t the US mainly extract garbage heavy sour crude now but most of the refineries are setup for the old light sweet crude? So net “self-sufficient” but incapable of decoupling from the global oil trade and has to pay whatever spot is like everyone else
I think it’s actually the other way around: most refineries in the us are set up for heavy, sour oil, while the us extracts light, sweet oil. This also means that there’s zero incentive to build refineries that can process american oil since the oil companies make more money selling the light, sweet crude on the international market and buying the cheaper heavy and sour crude to process for domestic consumption
Ah interesting guess I got it mixed up. Thanks!
Thanks for the correction. Energy crisis: arriving now.
Also I find interesting how they use the word “reselling” exclusively. China also has a domestic LNG production (that can not meet domestic demand)?