A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of military and civilian sites across Caracas which were bombed by the United States as of last weekend.


As everybody has already known for a couple days, the US has abducted Maduro and his wife in a massive operation (of which the exact details are not currently known, but involved hundreds of aircraft and at least some bombing of military and civilian targets), and has threatened Venezuela and the socialist party with further abductions and widespread murder if they do not hand over control of the country directly to the United States. In a statement that really says it all, Trump said that Machado is not being considered for the colonial viceroy position due to her sheer unpopularity. Various parties and countries around the world - and inside the US - have expressed their disapproval, which, as we all know, will not shift US foreign policy a single iota.

A few months ago, when the pressure campaign on Venezuela began, I speculated that Maduro was going to be killed or captured eventually. Flagrantly illegal and violent American military campaigns in Latin America are not new. The US has been invading land, looting banks, assassinating democratically elected leaders, and otherwise overthrowing countries in the region for their own economic benefit for the better part of two centuries, under both Democratic and Republican parties. Unfortunately, we all know that Russia and China are unlikely to do anything meaningful to contest the US in their attempt to more violently assert hegemony in Latin America. I doubt very much that the China of today will come out to bat for Venezuela and start meaningfully pressuring the US economically. For better and worse, we are far from the days of the USSR.

However, Latin America has, historically, met the US in its radicalism, committed to wars of anti-colonial nationalism, and carried out successful revolutions against the dictators placed in control from the US. As history continues ever onwards and conditions develop, I can only assume that we shall once again enter that radicalizing cycle. In that vein, the big question on my mind, and everybody else’s, is: what comes next? Does the Venezuelan socialist party have the social and military cohesion to wage a years-long guerilla war against occupying troops? Can they quickly transition from a conventional to guerilla force as their military facilities are bombed, or will it take several years? Can they prevent the theft of their oil resources and make the attempt at foreign occupation more costly in both the manpower and economic costs than what that war will generate? Can Venezuela manufacture weapons for this guerilla war in a state of blockade? Will this military campaign begin immediately upon soldiers landing, or will it take a period of relatively unopposed occupation of months or even years? Will Cuba, Colombia, and even Mexico be in the same situation by the end of the year, with abducted leaders?

Yemen is the very recent proof that seemingly weak countries can force the American military to retreat in defeat. Can Venezuela follow? We shall see what Maduro has done to prepare the country for this war very soon. The only certain thing is that the murderous violence propagated by a trembling and dying empire shall be defeated eventually, whether it takes months, years, or decades, and the end result will be a socialist victory.


Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Tervell [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    11 days ago

    https://archive.ph/vskiY

    Trump has ‘no plan’ for what comes next in Venezuela

    Source says US president has ‘no blueprint’ and ‘anybody who tells you it’s anything other than day-by-day is not being forthright’

    more

    Donald Trump has no plan for what comes next in Venezuela, according to sources familiar with his thinking. After capturing Nicolás Maduro on Saturday, the US president is relying on his top aides to develop their Venezuela policy on the hoof. “There is no blueprint, no plan for what comes next,” said one source. “And anybody who tells you that it’s anything other than day-by-day is really not being forthright with you.” The former Venezuelan leader appeared in Manhattan’s federal court on Monday. He was arrested in an audacious raid by US special forces on Saturday morning to face charges of narco-terrorism. Delcy Rodríguez, Mr Maduro’s vice-president, has since been sworn in as the interim leader. At first, she struck a defiant tone, but later suggested that she was prepared to work with the US.

    once again, Western media doing the whole “oh the Venezuelan government is totally willing to cooperate!” shit

    At the same time, Mr Trump’s vision for what comes next appears at odds with the views of his top foreign policy official. The result is confusion about how Washington plans to oversee Venezuela’s transition to a democratic government and exactly how it will avoid the sort of quagmire that bogged down past interventions in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere. “We are going to run the country until we can do a safe, proper and judicious transition,” is how Mr Trump put it on Saturday, setting out a course to democratic elections, even as he played down the role of the country’s democratically elected opposition leaders. Marco Rubio, his secretary of state and one of the leading Venezuela hawks in his administration, described things differently. He told Sunday news shows that the US would exert influence on the Caracas government through its sanctions, preventing oil tankers from coming and going. “That remains in place, and that’s a tremendous amount of leverage that will continue to be in place until we see changes, not just to further the national interest of the United States, which is number one, but also that lead to a better future for the people of Venezuela,” he told CBS News.

    A second source said their public words reflected private differences on how to view the remnants of Mr Maduro’s regime. For Mr Rubio, there is unease that so many officials connected to the drug trade remain in place.

    oh fuck off jagoff

    “There are dozens of people here,” said the source. “They’ve been indicted and implicated. So what about their future?” Mr Rubio cut an agitated figure during a news conference at Mar-a-Lago on Jan 3. He shifted his weight from one foot to the other while in front of him, Mr Trump laid out his view of the raid, saying that the US would run the country until a “safe, proper and judicious” transition could be achieved. A senior White House official said it was wrong to think there was confusion among Mr Trump and his top team. “This is false – president Trump and secretary Rubio have been consistent,” they said. “Both were speaking about exerting maximum leverage with the remaining elements in Venezuela and ensuring they co-operate with the United States by halting illegal migration, stopping drug flows, revitalising oil infrastructure, and doing what is right for the Venezuelan people.” The president said a working group of senior advisers were planning for Venezuela’s future, but he did not spell out their roles and responsibilities.

    Regional experts have warned that the ambition and rhetoric have yet to be matched by a detailed plan. “The duration of the transition, its benchmarks, and its ultimate outcome all remain resoundingly unclear,” said Laurel Rapp, director of the US and North America programme at Chatham House, in a recent commentary. “Trump and Rubio’s imprecise language about who currently runs Venezuela hints at limited succession planning, if any.” Senior Trump figures see the approach as a strength, not a criticism. They say he makes huge demands on his staff to operate on “Trump time” by making rapid decisions and then setting tight deadlines for them to be enacted. “It is not a criticism. It is his style,” said the first source familiar with the president’s Venezuela thinking. “Pull the trigger and then figure out how it works.”

    I’m not incompetent, it’s just my style!

    In this case, he added, Mr Trump and his team were particularly incensed by the way Mr Maduro had responded to US demands by dancing in public. “At some point here, he did feel that sometimes he was being mocked,” he said, confirming previous reports by the New York Times. Mr Rubio and other top officials briefed leaders in Congress on Monday night amid mounting concerns that Mr Trump is operating without consulting representatives and does not have a clear vision for running the South American country. Republican leaders entered the closed-door session at the Capitol largely supportive of Trump’s decision to forcibly remove Mr Maduro from power. However, many Democrats emerged with more questions as Mr Trump maintains a fleet of naval vessels off the Venezuelan coast and urges US companies to reinvest in the country’s underperforming oil industry. A war powers resolution that would prohibit US military action in Venezuela without approval from Congress is heading for a vote this week in the Senate.

    Mike Johnson, the house speaker, said: “We don’t expect troops on the ground.” Gregg Nunziata, a long-time Republican aide who is now the executive director of the Society for the Rule of Law, said competing justifications for action – to stem the supply of drugs reaching American soil or to get access to Venezuelan oil or to promote democracy, for example – muddied thinking about next steps. “I think observers are right to question whether the lack of a coherent explanation and whether the conflicting justifications from the administration are an indication of a deliberate strategy or real confusion within the senior ranks of the administration,” he told The Telegraph. A state department official said Monday that the Trump administration is making preliminary plans to reopen the US embassy in Venezuela. The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said early preparations “to allow for a reopening” of the embassy in Caracas had begun in the event that Mr Trump decides to return American diplomats to the country.

    • InexplicableLunchFiend [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      11 days ago

      He was arrested in an audacious raid by US special forces

      Bootlicker to English translation: He was kidnapped in an illegal invasion by roided up fascist militants, murdering 80 people in order to reach him

    • Damarcusart [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      10 days ago

      I know they have a reputation as incompetents, but surely they had some plan beyond “kidnap the president and threaten the country.” Did they really expect Venezuela to just fold completely and do whatever they say? Did they buy into their own bullshit and think that Maduro is a supreme dictator who controls every aspect of Venezuelan life and is vital for the country’s existence?

      Is this all just misdirection and misinformation? Are they relying on their reputation of not knowing what they are doing in order to keep their actual plans a secret?

      • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        10 days ago

        Trump is a businessman. That’s just how he treats geopolitical matters as though he’s negotiating a business deal, as he did in his tariff negotiations with the various countries. He loves the art of the deal negotiation shit.

        In other words, it means “we’ll see what Venezuela has to offer after we made our big spectacle and we’ll respond to that”.

      • built_on_hope [she/her]@hexbear.net
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        10 days ago

        I think US foreign and military policy since Trump came in (including the Zionist entity’s actions in this) are entirely based on them having drunk their own Great Man kool-aid tbh

      • coolusername [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        10 days ago

        Remember the first attempted coup of Venezuela under Trump’s first term? US mercs thought once they arrived the whole country would join them in overthrowing Maduro. But instead they got captured/killed by socialist fishermen.