A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of Rixi Moncada of the LIBRE Party voting in the election.


On November 30th, Hondurans voted to choose their next President, as well as deputies to the Congress, councillors, and other candidates. Like all elections in Latin America, the looming shadow of American intervention will be a major factor in deciding the winner. In this election, that intervention has been fairly naked, with Trump literally stating who he wishes to win (the far-right nationalist guy, Nasry Asfura). Asfura has said that if he does not win, American funding to the country will dry up - a clear threat - and Trump has additionally pardoned the former Honduran president and US ally Juan Orlando Hernández, imprisoned for smuggling cocaine into the US.

The other candidates in this election are Salvador Nasralla of the Liberal Party, who is essentially running on the same platform as Asfura with some differences (such differences would inevitably vanish if he were to win); and Rixi Moncada of the progressive (self-described as democratic socialist) LIBRE Party. The narrative about this election is - try not to yawn - the neverending battle of democracy against communism. This narrative is obviously very important to uphold in the current environment of accelerated aggression against Venezuela, Colombia, Mexico, and others.

Who is going to win? As of me writing this sentence, the results have not yet been fully reported. However, there has been something of a scandal in regards to a plot - with recorded voices, though those guilty plead AI tampering - to show the best possible preliminary results for the right wing, so as to manipulate the narrative and morale of the population. The idea, is presumably, that if LIBRE were to win, the fascists could say “How did LIBRE go from 20% of the vote (which is what the preliminary results showed) to a victory?! It must be communist meddling!”

Of course, it’s entirely possible that LIBRE won’t win anyway, or get particularly close. We shall see how things turn out very shortly.


Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • companero [he/him]@hexbear.net
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    54
    ·
    edit-2
    3 months ago

    Reuters: Exclusive: US sets 2027 deadline for Europe-led NATO defense, officials say

    WASHINGTON, Dec 5 (Reuters) - The United States wants Europe to take over the majority of NATO’s conventional defense capabilities, from intelligence to missiles, by 2027, Pentagon officials told diplomats in Washington this week, a tight deadline that struck some European officials as unrealistic.

    The message, recounted by five sources familiar with the discussion, including a U.S. official, was conveyed at a meeting in Washington this week of Pentagon staff overseeing NATO policy and several European delegations.

    The U.S. officials told their counterparts that if Europe does not meet the 2027 deadline, the U.S. may stop participating in some NATO defense coordination mechanisms, said the sources, who requested anonymity to discuss private conversations.

    “Get ready to take over NATO responsibilities, or else… we’ll leave NATO.” US influence over its European vassals is reduced to a tautology. The sad part is that they will still do as they are commanded, regardless of this non-logic.

    The deadline is no coincidence, by the way. 2027 is also the year that the US expects a war with China (that they will likely provoke themselves).

    Push through Minsk 3 deal in Ukraine -> quickly pull out of Europe -> shore up the Western Hemisphere -> proxy war with China (Taiwan/Japan/Philippines) -> ??? -> resume proxy war with Russia

    • carpoftruth [any, any]@hexbear.netM
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      22
      ·
      edit-2
      3 months ago

      The tide is going out on Europe but I don’t think the US will fight a war against China. Even a proxy war would be an absolute joke without the actual US military. Japan/Philippines and even RoK do not have the domestic forces to be a credible fight against China.

      • vovchik_ilich [he/him]@hexbear.net
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        22
        ·
        edit-2
        3 months ago

        It doesn’t have to be a credible fight against China. Framing China as “le evil invader of Taiwan/Japan” that would inevitably happen from such a conflict would be good enough excuse for all of Europe to start sanctioning China the way they did to Russia, which might be the intent of the USA. Any US ally can be sacrificed for such a goal, including Japan.

        Keep in mind I’m a dumb hexbear without knowledge of geopolitics, you’d be better off referring to other users.

        Edit: comrade @xiaohongshu@hexbear.net has responded to this comment with the usual depth that I can’t provide. Thanks for that!

        • cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          20
          ·
          3 months ago

          would be good enough excuse for all of Europe to start sanctioning China the way they did to Russia

          All that would do is sink Europe even faster than it already is sinking. The sanctions on Russia have been the biggest economic own goal in history. Sanctions on China would be a hundred times worse and China would shrug it off the same way it did the US trade war.

        • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          7
          ·
          edit-2
          3 months ago

          You’re right in that the framing is just an excuse. The root cause is that the US has shaped the geopolitical and economic conditions through various pressures to coerce these countries into their current predicaments.

          European industries cannot possibly compete with Chinese industries. The cheap Russian energy allowed Europe to stay competitive post-2009 GFC while paying their workers relatively well compared to the rest of the world. This advantage is now lost.

          Additionally, wages aren’t regulated/enforced in China and the price wars among Chinese capitalists have been putting downward pressure on the worker’s wages. It has gotten so bad that the government is forced to step in with their “anti-involution” policy to stop the industries from killing themselves. If Europe wants to compete on Chinese wages, good luck, it’d be a political suicide for any country that even attempts that.

          And as I’ve said before, since these countries have bought into the neoliberal free trade ideology, where they all want to run trade surpluses, which can never happen, one of them is going to lose. And if both refuse to budge, it’ll have to be a war.

          As such, Europe has no choice but to sanction and impose tariffs on China. The “China is evil” narrative is simply the excuse used to justify why the European economy is uncompetitive, in order to better sell the propaganda to its populace on why they have to militarize.

          This wasn’t so much of a problem in the previous decades because the US had voluntarily run a trade deficit strategy to absorb the global surplus goods. Now that Trump wants to cut back its trade deficit, and if no country is willing to run its own trade deficit to take up the oversupply of goods from global exporters, it can only result in mercantilism as it did in the 19th and early 20th century.

          It is the same for Japan where their car manufacturers have been suffering from Chinese competition, and once again, neoliberal free trade ideology will only further intensify the mercantilistic warfare, where the country with the cheapest and most efficient export production ends up killing its competitors.

          The real beneficiary of free trade is obviously the US, who can use its financial power to “bail out” the economies of those countries under pressure, and coerce them into submitting to the US interests and reshape the global supply chain through weaponizing China’s industrial prowess.

          An analogy here is a landlord deliberately create situations that drive down the land value in a neighborhood (e.g. increased crime) or an industrial zone (increased business cost) they are interested in, and then come in and buy out the land for cheap for re-development. The financial hegemon is the landlord, the industrial and commodity supplier nations are the factory owners and producers.

          And for the 100th time, the only way out is China tapping into its huge domestic market to absorb the global export capacity, which it has found very difficult to do in practice.

      • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        3 months ago

        The US couldn’t even beat the PRC in the Korean War, I strongly doubt they think they can win a war in the 21st century.

        Good for pumping trillions more into the military industrial complex though.

      • The US would be stupid to fight a conventional war overseas against a numerically-superior “near-peer” state.

        The entire US advantage isn’t that it can subdue China proper, but that it can extend a dozen tendrils aloft carriers and atop bases to occupy the intersections of trade and diplomacy. If the US was ever to face a conventional war with a country that could truly punish the empire for its hubris, the mimutemen missiles would be used well before the grunts.