Really feels like we’re in a situation where, given these assumptions:
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Iran commits to their stated war goal of punishing Israel until they dare to never strike Iran ever again.
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Iran has sufficient capabilities and internal popular support to do such. (And every analysis I’ve seen suggests they likely do on both counts.)
Then one of these two outcomes must occur:
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Either, the US enters the war, and Iran’s retaliatory strikes on oil infrastructure and trade routes absolutely fuck the world economy, and have a serious possibility of triggering WW3.
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Or, the US doesn’t enter the war with Iran, and Israel likely loses an attrition war against Iran. I dont really see how this doesn’t eventually lead to the collapse of Israel.
That second option comes with the scary question of “will Israel resort to using its nukes?” So I guess that’s another route to WW3.
Idk, I’m no expert and I’m open to hearing other likely ways for this to play out, but this is where my head is at given all the information I’ve been absorbing so far.
Nextdoor is 50% lost pet posts and 50% Totally Real™ conversations Your Neighbors® are having about their new [walk-in tub/gutter system] that they totally just had installed. I’m sure pumping it full of even more hyperlocal copganda, for our local busybodies to comment the most racist shit imaginable on, will round it out nicely!