This, but also if you aren’t putting your soldiers at risk then war becomes more palatable (and thus more likely). For example, I doubt Trump would have attacked Iran if he had been quoted 1000+ American causalties in the first week.

Seriously this. Oil is a global commodity. Iran was being dumb for allowing oil to ship to friendly countries, because them using that oil frees up other oil for the US and reduces the one leverage Iran has that Trump cares about. But I guess it doesn’t matter - Trump is rescuing them from their mistake.