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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 5th, 2023

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  • So, I agree with everything you said, I’m just not as confident as I would like to be that Iran would stay their own hand. I agree that it’s an idiotic idea, actually using a nuke, which is part of why even North Korea hasn’t used theirs, but I’m just not that confident Iran could resist the temptation once they’ve got it. Making Israel disappear is high on their priority list, even if it’s a stupid idea.

    I’m not dedicated to the preservation of Israel or anything, but part of preserving the taboo against nukes means making sure that we never actually have to retaliate after a strike. Like you said, the cat is out of the bag as far as owning nukes goes, we don’t want to end up in a situation where we have to say “okay, WWII and then that time Israel disappeared but we’re serious, no more nukes?”








  • The way statistics work, 1000 people is more than adequate for a population the size of Israel. It’s honestly overkill, if anything. The real question is “are the respondents a representative sample?” That is, is the way you chose who to question and how to question them introducing any systemic bias in your results? For this survey, if everyone lived in the West Bank, that would be a clear source of bias in the data. But if people are randomly selected by, say, phone number, then you would have to worry about more subtle biases before agreeing that the data is sound.