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Cake day: March 11th, 2026

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  • Yes, still very much losing.

    My uninformed analysis of the whole debacle at this stage is that America pretended to be conducting a humanitarian movement to free stuck ships in the strait. Really they escorted out two US flagged ships in a risky heist, Came under fire, And lost a big part of the only oil field in the UAE that avoided Hormuz.

    US tested Irans resolve and defense methods and freed a couple ships. Iran showed them what they use to deter military intervention. Missiles/fast boats/ shore munitions etc.

    Looks like Iran showed they still have power to deter naval movements and significant escalation capabilities, as this was walked back in record time. Even for Trump. They’re just throwing shit at a wall to see what sticks at this point.












  • From what I understand the Iranian blockade took ship traffic from 180-200 ships a day to somewhere around 10. This will take it from 10 to 0. I don’t really see this being a massive disadvantage for Iran (not being rampant capitalists the money is nice but they’re pretty self sufficient and I imagine Russia and China will dip their hands in their pockets to help). It will keep up the international pressure on USA due to rising oil prices and loss in supply and lack of fertiliser shipments etc. so personally I’m not convinced this is a smart play in the slightest. Think it makes Trump look like a war mongering dumbass even more and doesn’t really alter Iran’s strategy or strengths.





  • Still it’s hard to emphasise how big a loss it is if reports are correct and US managed to get a pilot out of Iran. Capturing a US soldier alive would be the easiest and quickest way for Iran to end this war. If the other is alive and gets captured he can be traded for peace. I’m convinced of this. It would be such a headache for trump.

    Either way, what a day for Iran. Another day proving they can take the worlds richest and most powerful military and 7 of their lapdogs on alone.




  • I have also seen them claim a few hits on US military hideouts the last few days filled with hundreds of soldiers. Again took it with a pinch of salt but if it has any level of truth to it, as this did, then that is a massive gut punch. And we could be looking at a reason why no ground invasion has been attempted.

    US has acknowledged numbers wounded in strikes that would make one expect a death toll of 10-20 times what is publicly announced. I wonder, when the dust clears or Regime changes, whether we’ll ever find out the real truth of the damage Iran has inflicted?