DogThatWentGorp [he/him, they/them]

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: April 27th, 2025

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    1. Lebanon and Iran are talking behind the scenes and strategizing together, and you just don’t happen to be in the room? This buys some time to discuss while the world continues supporting Iran more and the economies start hurting.

    This is the point I like the most and I think needs to be reiterrated: we know as a fact Hezbollah is coordinating with Iran, that’s why they jumped in when this started. I’m sure their leaders know just as well as Iran that whatever strategy they’re carrying out right now has short and long term impacts/possibilities.

    We probably won’t know the full scope or reasons behind the decision to negotiate for a while because there’s no world where Hezbollah can swear off Iran’s support right now even if they /did/ feel betrayed.

    Smart money for me though says go with the trend: Iran ran the US out of a significant portion of the middle east and wrapped a lot of the world’s economy around its finger in one months time, they might know a thing or two. Let’s assume they know to coordinate with their allies.



  • Yeah agree I can also see a few diplomatic or military reasons why they’re playing along for now too. This doesn’t feel as definite as some of the other diplomatic concessions/actions Iran has made before.

    It’s hard to guess what their reasoning is when we’re not in an IRGC situation room. I figure, whatever their reasons, we’ll really only see if they made the right choices once the results play out.

    Which… feels like an overgenerous thing for me to say while seeing what’s happening to Lebanon but idk what kind of dialogue is going between Hezbollah and Iran as far as that part of the decision making goes. Maybe they reached a concesus that this will still save more lives in the end and that it’s worth the risk? I haven’t seen info on that so I’m in no place to assume motives though.