Image is of the damage caused by an Iranian Kheibar Shekan ballistic missile in Israel, causing dozens of injuries.


Now in our second week of the conflict, we have seen continuing damage to both Israel and Iran, as well as direct US intervention which nonetheless seems to have caused limited damage to Fordow and little damage to Iran’s nuclear program. Regime change seems more elusive than ever, as even Iranians previously critical of the government now rally around it as they are attacked by two rabid imperialists at once. And Iran’s government is tentatively considering a withdrawal, or at minimum a reconsideration, of their membership to the IAEA and the NPT. And, of course, the Strait of Hormuz is still a tool in their arsenal.

A day or so on from the strike on Fordow, we have so far seen basically no change in strategy from the Iranian military as they continue to strike Israel with small barrages of missiles. Military analysts argue furiously - is this a deliberate strategy of steady attrition on Israel, or indicative of immense material constraints on Iran? Are the hits by Israel on real targets, or are they decoys? Does Iran wish to develop a nuke, or are they still hesitating? Will Iran and Yemen strike at US warships and bases in response to the attack, or will they merely continue striking only Israel?

And perhaps most importantly - will this conflict end diplomatically due to a lack of appetite for an extended war (to wit: not a peace but a 20 year armistice) or with Israel forced into major concessions including an end to their genocide? Or even with a total military/societal collapse of either side?


Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    20 hours ago

    Bolivian leftist candidate keeps running mate - Prensa Latina

    Article

    La Paz, Jun 29 (Prensa Latina) Former Bolivian minister Mariana Prado (2017-2019) remains today as running mate of the presidential candidate of the leftist Alianza Popular, Andrónico Rodríguez, in view of the general elections of next August 17.

    He also ratified her as a candidate for the vice-presidency of the State during a massive rally in the Villarroel square, in La Paz, at the official launching of her campaign for the elections.

    Prado’s possible candidacy was criticized by several sectors, despite being, together with Eva Copa (presidential candidate of the National Renewal Movement, Morena), the only woman candidate for one of the two most important posts in the country. For that reason her candidacy remained in suspense until now, however, against all odds, Rodriguez ratified it.

    “With our colleague Mariana, who we made the decision to assume with so much responsibility for the future, we want to thank you for your contributions to the government program”, said the senatorial leader to his thousands of followers.

    Likewise, he thanked his running mate for following him and ratified the purpose of leading the country after a victory in the elections.

    Prada was next to the candidate in the platform installed in the center of the Villarroel Square, without making any speech, although he did greet the different popular sectors that attended the event.

    Referring to the process of public acts that begin this week, Rodriguez warned about the intention of a “dirty war”. and reaffirmed that he “will not give up” in the fight for “better days”.

    "We have 50 days of campaign and work to reach the Presidency and change our homeland.

    Our process has to be up to the demands of the new times", said the legislator, originally from the Chapare area of Cochabamba.

    He took the opportunity to criticize the candidates of other parties, whose past he criticized.

    “The political actors that today are presenting themselves with a renewed suit are the same ones that have been part of the coalition governments, which have led to regression”, he said in reference to the right-wing candidates Jorge Tuto Quiroga, Samuel Doria Medina and Manfred Reyes Villa.

    Five parties and five political alliances are competing in the campaign, according to the current electoral calendar.

    Next August 17, Bolivians will go to the polls to elect the country’s president, vice-president, 130 deputies, 36 senators and nine representatives to supra-state bodies.

    All this is taking place in a context of division within the ruling party and the national popular movement camp, in which there is a fierce fight between the sectors related to Morales, President Luis Arce and Rodríguez, as if “the main enemy” did not exist, deplore the supporters of unity.