Jeremy Scahill and Murtaza Hussain
Feb 18, 2026

A former senior U.S. intelligence official who is an informal advisor to the Trump administration on Middle East policy told Drop Site that, based on his discussions with current officials, he assesses an 80-90% likelihood of U.S. strikes within weeks.

Iran realizes that it is facing an unprecedented threat from the U.S. if a deal that conforms with Trump’s terms is not reached, former Pentagon official Jasmine El-Gamal told Drop Site. “This is not a dress rehearsal,” she said. “This is it. This is not the negotiations of last year or the year before or the year before that. They’re backed into a corner. There’s no off ramp.”

  • Socar@lemmy.zip
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    6 hours ago

    I also ‘hope’ it doesn’t happen but i assume it will happen tonight once wall-street closes…

    • P1d40n3 [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      3 hours ago

      I fear Donald’s showmanship will lead to a SotU announcement of an attack on Iran. And all the Dems will clap like seals, as will the Republicans.

      • Socar@lemmy.zip
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        1 hour ago

        I don’t think he would even bother to do that tbh. In his mind he is king and he answers to no one.