Despite claims of success in Ukraine, new CSIS data shows that Russia is paying an extraordinary price for minimal gains, with over 1.2 million casualties. Russia is also in decline as a major economic power with slow growth, weak productivity, and declining manufacturing.

Since February 2022, Russian forces have suffered nearly 1.2 million casualties in the war in Ukraine, more losses than any major power in any war since World War II.

Ukraine Battlefield Map, January 2026