In addition to military targets, Trump is considering strikes on senior Iranian leaders with the aim of spurring the overthrow of the Iranian government.
Trump always does weekend attacks but I have a feeling that because this was leaked it’ll come next weekend or the one after or a month later. Fact is you can’t do very effective decapitation strikes on targets who know it’s coming (unless you know where they run to I suppose in which case this leak could be the dogs trying to drive the fox where they want it) and they can go to ground for one weekend. The problem becomes for Iran if it doesn’t come this weekend then do you go to ground next weekend? Do you go to ground the weekend after that? The smart thing to say would be yes, do that for the next 4 months if you have to but in practice they’ll get sloppy about it, decide it’s all bluster or that they need to work or live in the official compound and can’t upend their lives and then the US will strike.
Trump always does weekend attacks but I have a feeling that because this was leaked it’ll come next weekend or the one after or a month later. Fact is you can’t do very effective decapitation strikes on targets who know it’s coming (unless you know where they run to I suppose in which case this leak could be the dogs trying to drive the fox where they want it) and they can go to ground for one weekend. The problem becomes for Iran if it doesn’t come this weekend then do you go to ground next weekend? Do you go to ground the weekend after that? The smart thing to say would be yes, do that for the next 4 months if you have to but in practice they’ll get sloppy about it, decide it’s all bluster or that they need to work or live in the official compound and can’t upend their lives and then the US will strike.