GOP lawmakers are growing increasingly concerned over signs the 2026 midterm elections could be a wipeout for Republicans that could cost them control of the House and shave down their Senate majority by two or three seats.

There’s growing anxiety in the Senate and House GOP conferences that Trump’s sinking approval rating will create a headwind in swing states and districts.

But GOP lawmakers say they still have time to improve their party’s image before next November.

  • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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    3 days ago

    This is a boring narrative. The system isn’t stacked in favor of the GOP, it’s stacked in favor of parties that play by the actual rules. If a party can’t make a compelling message to multiple different states, it’s on them.

      • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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        2 days ago

        The rules are get 270 electoral votes, not get the most votes. This generally requires winning the majority of states.

        • Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip
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          2 days ago

          Except you can “win” the election with something absurd like 27 votes, against 100 million.

          Any system where that’s an actual possibility is fucking stupid.

          • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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            2 days ago

            Sure in theory if only a single person voted in the 12 largest states you could win that way, but that’s not really possible.

            • Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip
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              2 days ago

              You can also “normally” win just the smallest states, and win with states representing only ~25% of the population. If you want something more realistically fucking stupid and completely disqualifying for an electoral system

              • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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                1 day ago

                That’s equally hypothetical, winning the ~36 smallest states by a single vote and getting no other votes.

                • Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip
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                  1 day ago

                  Any result that have happened yet is hypothetical. The fact that it is possible should be immediately disqualifying

      • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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        3 days ago

        Why? because it feels better to say the system is rigged than admit Democrats sold out the working class across the country and are reaping the benefits?

        • Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip
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          2 days ago

          What do you mean why? The electoral college has been utterly broken since they froze the number of house seats in 1929. It gets worse every year as population increases. This causes low population states to have way more representation in the House, influence over the presidency, and through that and the Senate, the SCOTUS, than they’re designed to. And since racism seems to play well to the rural folk who love to vote against their own interests, this has given Republicans a significant advantage.

          This is on top of the blatant gerrymandering that Republicans do in red states (look at Ohio which voted under maps that were deemed illegal). And the blatant voter suppression actions taken every cycle.

          Are corporate Democrats also failing to be appealing? Yes, but that doesn’t mean the board isn’t also tilted against them. The fact that Clinton had like 8 million more votes in 2016 but still “lost” is proof. SCOTUS stealing the election from Gore is also proof.

          • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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            2 days ago

            The low limit on the house is a problem for representation in general, but it doesn’t change the presidential election much. Trump would have still won the election if there were 800 representatives in the house, though it would have been closer.

            The popular vote is irrelevant for the presidency, so your proving my point by bringing it up. It’s not relevant to the rules of the election.

            • Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip
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              2 days ago

              False. The distribution of seats requires a lot of skewing to fit the vastly different sizes of populations.

              I’m not proving your point at all. The fact that we don’t listen to the cast majority of people to represent the country as a whole is dumb. The fact that your presence in a state that votes differently from you actually works AGAINST you, is even dumber.

              • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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                2 days ago

                The apportionment formula is straightforward, you can find calculators to see what would happen as more representatives gets added. It’s not magic.

                  • ryathal@sh.itjust.works
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                    1 day ago

                    The system is fine, the cap is too small, but that could be fixed, and much more easily than making a new system.