The blink heard across the world

I can’t believe the Pope would pay attention to one of the major cradles of Roman Christianity, hasn’t he read the Clash of Civilizations?

Get their ass

This isn’t just a continuation of the war against Iran, but a declaration of war against any country that relies on those energy flows

Southeast Asia about to eat shit

So in other words the universe is only about 0.000000000001% through its lifespan?

My god we’re running out of time

Ok, maybe Tucker Carlson will become president, goddamn they never learn

If there’s one thing I’m not remotely doomer about, it’s the draft, it is impossible for the United States to implement a sucessful draft, it’s not possible even if there was a popular war

That doesn’t mean they can’t try and frankly part of me hopes they do; it would become one of the greatest generators of mass revolutionary energy in American history and simultaneously collapse multiple institutions within the military and security apparatus

Barrack riots, millions strong student protests, fugitive networks springing up everywhere, labor shortages, shootouts, mass flight, generational mass radicalization

It would be the single biggest mistake the capitalist class ever made; it would make imperialism real for the average American

The ceasefire is funtionally dead

It’s looking like Israel and the Gulf states are gonna do their best to sabotage the ceasefire; it’s up to the US to put their foot down on their clients

Drives a wedge bewteen Israel and the US; a smart move by Iran

If this is true, China should receive enormous diplomatic blowback and flak if the US and Israel break the ceasefire prematurely

It’s the height of perfidy to only pressure Iran while ignoring the nazism leaking out of the US/Israeli empire

I hope the reformists realize that if they fuck this up, it’s lynchings and firing squads for them

Seems to me all Pakistan did was provide Trump with a garbage casus belli where the onus is placed on Iran to surrender their greatest point of leverage

Apparently Iran has only used the hypersonic Fattahs once, so they could unleash them and inflict catastrophic damage on Israel and the Gulf states

I didn’t believe the invasion would happen a month before, I changed my mind two weeks before because of Ukrainian artillery attacks, but I thought it would be limited to Donbass

The Kiev operation took me by surprise; I guess no credit for partially correct answers

Me too, me too

The assumption was that the bunker busters would bury the U235 under tons of rubble which would prevent fallout from the stockpile, dumb assumption, maybe, maybe not, depends on the geography and depth of the bunkers

That’s not the case with ground-detonated nukes, the mushroom cloud won’t be buried and since the stockpile is underground the nuke has to be ground-detonated, even if they use conventional bunker busters to create a hole for the nuke, it can’t be contained

Nukes just aren’t good againest bunkers, the bunker will survive, and the fallout would be catastrophic for the world

In his own mind; the nuke

The minute he orders it; the gears of the empire will more likely start to seize and push back, making a withdrawal more likely in the end

The entity dropped the equivalent of like eight nuclear bombs on Gaza, no one “important” cared

That’s the result of human psychology; those eight equivalent nukes were dispersed over two years and could be statisticalized, rendering the impact diffuse (in the mind of the west)

Nukes on the otherhand, overwhelm the human mind and lead to super mass casualty events that aren’t diffuse or dispersed over time, creating political impact that’s irrespective of the actual statistics. Nobody remembers the apocalypse of ordnance rained down on North Korea, but everyone remembers Hiroshima

The USA using nukes does open the door for Russia to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine (and for Ukraine to respond in kind), which is a nightmare in and of itself (although for whatever reason, Russia doesn’t seem to be in a rush to end the war in Ukraine). Iran might also have nuclear weapons or develop them quickly or purchase them from the DPRK, since I think most if not all of us can agree that the USA using nuclear weapons (even a lot of nuclear weapons) will not stop Iran. A few nukes dropped on “Israel,” however, means no more “Israel.”

I mean I agree with this completely, but it’s an argument against the likelihood of nukes being dropped

On the other hand, the USA is basically out of options

The US maybe, but the rest of the world also has the option of nukes, so maybe withdrawing from West Asia is becoming more of an option with each passing day

I think war is little different than the use of nukes, otherwise the world would already be an apocalyptic wasteland